Chorley vs Hednesford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hednesford Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chorley wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Hednesford Town?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Chorley (1,861) and Hednesford Town (1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chorley vs Hednesford Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Hednesford Town
Not enough data to predict the Hednesford Town lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hednesford Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hednesford Town | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 10th in National League - North (17 points from 11 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hednesford Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Chorley vs Hednesford Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Hednesford Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chorley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hednesford Town.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Hednesford Town played?
- Chorley vs Hednesford Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.