Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 41Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire
The Footlab AI model makes Brackley Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brackley Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Brackley Town (1,801) and Merthyr Town (1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brackley Town
Not enough data to predict the Brackley Town lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Merthyr Town have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 3-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Brackley Town score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brackley Town sit 20th in National League - North (15 points from 13 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 18th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 15 |
A question about Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brackley Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town played?
- Brackley Town vs Merthyr Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.