Chesterfield vs Carlisle: result 4-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 17, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Chesterfield vs Carlisle?
Chesterfield won 4-1 on September 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 3′L. ClarkeChesterfield
- 20′Lee Adamson MillerCarlisle
- 26′L. ClarkeChesterfield
- 51′L. ClarkeChesterfield
- 65′Craig WestcarrChesterfield
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2011 | Bury(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Bournemouth(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 20, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 2-6 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 6, 2011 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 3, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 30, 2011 | Aldershot Town(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 9; Carlisle score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 4/9 | 4/9 |
| Carlisle | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/11 | 8/11 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy