Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 4Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 3, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
On Elo ratings, Mansfield Town has 1,816 points and Chesterfield 1,778.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 19T. Roberts
- 25L. Reed
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 16L. Thompson
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 9J. Bowery
- 1L. Roberts
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 4T. Naylor
- 18L. Marsh
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Computed on November 3, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mansfield Town wins, 2 draws, 1 Chesterfield win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2025 | Chesterfield 0-2 Mansfield Town | League Cup |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Chesterfield 0-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Mansfield Town 2-2 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Mansfield Town 0-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2013 | Mansfield Town 0-1 Chesterfield | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Chesterfield 0-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Mansfield Town on Aug 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 4th in EFL Trophy (1 point from 3 matches) and Chesterfield sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ChesterfieldGroup 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 4 | Mansfield TownGroup 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield played?
- Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.