Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Chesterfield. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,675) and Chesterfield (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 28A. Appiah
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 4K. Balmer
- 1Brad Young
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 4T. Naylor
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Chesterfield have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol Rovers wins, 0 draws, 4 Chesterfield wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 2-3 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Chesterfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Chesterfield | League One |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Chesterfield 3-2 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Chesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 17th in League Two (16 points from 14 matches) and Chesterfield sit 10th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Chesterfield.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.