Stevenage vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stevenage wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,923) and Mansfield Town (1,873).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stevenage
3-4-1-2- 9J. Magennis
- 18O. Sanderson
- 8D. Phillips
- 10D. Kemp
- 14S. Earley
- 24M. Smith
- 25Wanya Marçal
- 5C. Piergianni
- 2L. James-Wildin
- 15T. Vancooten
- 1T. Setford
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mansfield Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 6-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Stevenage win, 3 draws, 2 Mansfield Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Mansfield Town 1-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield Town | League One |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield Town | FA Cup |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Mansfield Town 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Mansfield Town 1-0 Stevenage | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Mansfield Town on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 9th in League One (12 points from 8 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stevenage the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Mansfield Town played?
- Stevenage vs Mansfield Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.