Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Yeovil Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
On Elo ratings, Chesterfield has 1,787 points and Yeovil Town 1,819.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 4T. Naylor
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Yeovil Town
4-3-3- 19S. Spasov
- 11J. Daly
- 9S. Walker
- 14B. McGavin
- 20J. Powell
- 10R. Jones
- 5Jack Kingdon
- 4H. Muller
- 3J. Norville-Williams
- 15J. Gubbins
- 1J. Barker
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Yeovil Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chesterfield wins, 2 draws, 0 Yeovil Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Chesterfield 1-1 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Yeovil Town 2-2 Chesterfield | National League |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Chesterfield 1-0 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Yeovil Town 0-2 Chesterfield | National League |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Chesterfield 3-0 Yeovil Town | National League |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Yeovil Town 0-1 Chesterfield | National League |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town on Mar 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Yeovil Town score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Yeovil Town | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Yeovil Town.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town played?
- Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.