Match

Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai

Chiangmai UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC

The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Nakhon Ratchasima FC starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,430).

Chiangmai United win38 %
Draw27 %
Nakhon Ratchasima FC win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangmai United have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Nakhon Ratchasima FC have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chiangmai United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Kasetsart FC(away)4-3Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-0Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Rasi Salai United(home)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)1-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Trat FC(home)0-1Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chonburi FC(away)1-2Thai League 1
May 2, 2026Sukhothai FC(home)1-0Thai League 1
Apr 25, 2026BG Pathum United(away)0-1Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026Muangthong United(away)1-2Thai League 1
Apr 11, 2026Bangkok United(home)1-0Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Chiangmai United win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2024Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-2 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 2
Dec 9, 2023Chiangmai United 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2
Jan 23, 2022Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2-2 Chiangmai UnitedThai League 1
Sep 26, 2021Chiangmai United 1-1 Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 1

Last archived meeting: Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United on Mar 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nakhon Ratchasima FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chiangmai United1.82.1210/1511/15
Nakhon Ratchasima FC0.81.155/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Chiangmai United3414119555843

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?
The Footlab model makes Chiangmai United the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.
Where and when is Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC played?
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC is played on January 9, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chiangmai United and Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Ready to know everything about football?