Match

Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom

Nakhon PathomPhrae United

The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Phrae United (1,445).

Nakhon Pathom win43 %
Draw28 %
Phrae United win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nakhon Pathom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Apr 19, 2026Bangkok(home)0-3Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026Mahasarakham United(away)2-0Thai League 2
Mar 22, 2026Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)3-1Thai League 2
Mar 13, 2026Khon Kaen United(away)0-1Thai League 2
Phrae United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Nakhon Pathom(home)0-2Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026Police Tero(away)1-3Thai League 2
Apr 5, 2026Esan Pattaya(home)0-0Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026Rasi Salai United(away)2-2Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026Songkhla(away)0-0Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Phrae United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Phrae United 0-2 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Aug 16, 2025Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Jan 29, 2023Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Sep 11, 2022Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2
Apr 23, 2022Phrae United 1-1 Nakhon PathomThai League 2
Dec 4, 2021Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Phrae UnitedThai League 2

Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nakhon Pathom1.11.164/154/15
Phrae United0.91.847/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Phrae United34101311405043
15Nakhon Pathom3410915293739

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Phrae United.
Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United played?
Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nakhon Pathom and Phrae United

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