Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,463) and Phrae United (1,445).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Phrae United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bangkok(home) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mahasarakham United(away) | 2-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 3-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Khon Kaen United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nakhon Pathom(home) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Police Tero(away) | 1-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rasi Salai United(away) | 2-2 | Thai League 2 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Songkhla(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nakhon Pathom win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Phrae United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United 0-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Phrae United 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Nakhon Pathom 2-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 15th in Thai League 2 (39 points from 34 matches) and Phrae United sit 11th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 43 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 37 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027SatunvsSongkhla
- Jan 9, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Jan 9, 2027ChainatvsMuang Loei United
- Jan 9, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsMuangthong United
- Jan 10, 2027UttaraditvsKasetsart FC
- Jan 10, 2027ChanthaburivsKanchanaburi
- Jan 10, 2027Police TerovsEsan Pattaya
- Jan 10, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKhon Kaen United