Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United: prediction and stats
Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, Nakhon Pathom
The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Phrae United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nakhon Pathom wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Nakhon Pathom (1,385) and Phrae United (1,373).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nakhon Pathom
4-3-3- 11Valdo
- 22P. Viriyachanchai
- 21N. Prachobklang
- 66S. Chaolaokhwan
- 6J. Phupha
- 55C. Otton
- 47A. Sangtong
- 44Amirhossein Nemati
- 5V. Filipović
- 33A. Sangram
- 76K. Pitaksalee
Phrae United
4-3-3- 10Wellington Smith
- 33Matheus Souza
- 19A. Phiraban
- 7T. Shimizu
- 37E. Harnphanitkit
- 24S. Sangwong
- 4L. Sutthasen
- 39W. Un Art
- 27A. Promkun
- 17R. Sruamprakum
- 25S. Srinothai
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nakhon Pathom have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Phrae United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nong Bua Pitchaya(home) | 4-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Chanthaburi(away) | 0-3 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kasetsart FC(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Muangthong United(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(home) | 2-1 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Esan Pattaya(away) | 3-0 | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Muang Loei United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nakhon Pathom win, 4 draws, 1 Phrae United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Phrae United 0-2 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Nakhon Pathom 0-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Phrae United 0-0 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Nakhon Pathom 1-1 Phrae United | Thai League 2 |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Phrae United 1-1 Nakhon Pathom | Thai League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Phrae United vs Nakhon Pathom on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nakhon Pathom score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Phrae United score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakhon Pathom | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Phrae United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nakhon Pathom sit 10th in Thai League 2 (10 points from 7 matches) and Phrae United sit 9th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Phrae United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nakhon Pathom the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Phrae United.
- Where and when is Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United played?
- Nakhon Pathom vs Phrae United is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Sport School Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 8, 2027SatunvsSongkhla
- Jan 9, 2027Chiangmai UnitedvsNakhon Ratchasima FC
- Jan 9, 2027ChainatvsMuang Loei United
- Jan 9, 2027Nong Bua PitchayavsMuangthong United
- Jan 10, 2027UttaraditvsKasetsart FC
- Jan 10, 2027ChanthaburivsKanchanaburi
- Jan 10, 2027Police TerovsEsan Pattaya
- Jan 10, 2027Mahasarakham UnitedvsKhon Kaen United