Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United played?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Muangthong United

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Muangthong United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United?

Muangthong United starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,616 vs 1,511).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win39 %

Draw27 %

Muangthong United win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Muangthong United have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

Muangthong United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Sukhothai FC(away)	0-3	Thai League 1
May 1, 2026	BG Pathum United(home)	1-1	Thai League 1
Apr 26, 2026	Chonburi FC(away)	0-0	Thai League 1
Apr 18, 2026	Nakhon Ratchasima FC(home)	2-1	Thai League 1
Apr 5, 2026	Chiangrai United(home)	2-1	Thai League 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Muangthong United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Muangthong United 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Aug 31, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Apr 23, 2023	Muangthong United 3-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Nov 12, 2022	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-2 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Feb 12, 2022	Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-0 Muangthong United	Thai League 1
Oct 5, 2021	Muangthong United 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Muangthong United score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15
Muangthong United	0.8	1.6	3	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United?: The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Muangthong United.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United played?: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muangthong United is played on January 9, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.