Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United played?

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United: prediction and stats

Thai League 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu

Nong Bua Pitchaya

Chiangmai United

The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Chiangmai United. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Nong Bua Pitchaya (1,511) and Chiangmai United (1,430).

Nong Bua Pitchaya win57 %

Draw20 %

Chiangmai United win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nong Bua Pitchaya have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chiangmai United have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Pattani(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
May 16, 2026	Pattani(home)	2-1	Thai League 2
May 9, 2026	Police Tero(home)	3-1	Thai League 2
May 3, 2026	Police Tero(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Apr 25, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	3-3	Thai League 2

Chiangmai United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Kasetsart FC(away)	4-3	Thai League 2
Apr 18, 2026	Nong Bua Pitchaya(home)	3-0	Thai League 2
Apr 4, 2026	Rasi Salai United(home)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 21, 2026	Khon Kaen United(away)	1-2	Thai League 2
Mar 14, 2026	Trat FC(home)	0-1	Thai League 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Nong Bua Pitchaya win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chiangmai United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Chiangmai United 3-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Dec 13, 2025	Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Jan 28, 2024	Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1 Chiangmai United	Thai League 2
Sep 16, 2023	Chiangmai United 1-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 2
Mar 20, 2022	Chiangmai United 1-3 Nong Bua Pitchaya	Thai League 1
Nov 6, 2021	Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-1 Chiangmai United	Thai League 1

Last archived meeting: Chiangmai United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nong Bua Pitchaya score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chiangmai United score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nong Bua Pitchaya	2.1	2.1	0	14/15	14/15
Chiangmai United	1.8	2.1	2	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 4th in Thai League 2 (54 points from 34 matches) and Chiangmai United sit 10th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Nong Bua Pitchaya	34	16	6	12	59	59	54
10	Chiangmai United	34	14	1	19	55	58	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?: The Footlab model makes Nong Bua Pitchaya the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Chiangmai United.
Where and when is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United played?: Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United is played on October 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Pitchaya Stadium, in the Thai League 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.