Match

Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Oaklands Park, Chichester, West Sussex

Chichester CityHanworth Villa

The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Chichester City (1,758) and Hanworth Villa (1,848).

Chichester City win36 %
Draw25 %
Hanworth Villa win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chichester City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chichester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chippenham Town(home)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Evesham United(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Poole Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Bognor Regis Town(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Hanworth Villa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Evesham United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bath City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Taunton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026Kingstonian(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chichester City1.51.5310/1510/15
Hanworth Villa1.70.767/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chichester City sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Hanworth Villa4301729
9Chichester City4202656

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa?
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chichester City.
Where and when is Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa played?
Chichester City vs Hanworth Villa is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Oaklands Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chichester City and Hanworth Villa

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