Match

Poole Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset

Poole TownChertsey Town

The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Chertsey Town (1,843).

Poole Town win41 %
Draw24 %
Chertsey Town win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Poole Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berkhamsted(away)3-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Basingstoke Town(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Sholing(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Chichester City(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 14, 2026Eastleigh(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Chertsey Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sholing(away)4-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Yate Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Berkhamsted(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Gloucester City(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026Westfield (Surrey)(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chertsey Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Chertsey Town 0-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Sep 6, 2025Poole Town 1-0 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Apr 26, 2025Poole Town 3-1 Chertsey TownNon League Premier - Southern South
Jan 14, 2025Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole TownNon League Premier - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Poole Town on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Poole Town1.31.348/156/15
Chertsey Town1.91.349/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chertsey Town431010410
11Poole Town4202566

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town.
Where and when is Poole Town vs Chertsey Town played?
Poole Town vs Chertsey Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Poole Town and Chertsey Town

Ready to know everything about football?