Poole Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Tatnam Ground, Poole, Dorset
The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Poole Town (1,823) and Chertsey Town (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poole Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Poole Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town 0-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Poole Town 1-0 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Poole Town 3-1 Chertsey Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Chertsey Town 2-1 Poole Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Chertsey Town vs Poole Town on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Poole Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poole Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poole Town sit 11th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Poole Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poole Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Poole Town the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Chertsey Town.
- Where and when is Poole Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Poole Town vs Chertsey Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Tatnam Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 27, 2026Taunton TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 27, 2026BerkhamstedvsSholing
- Oct 27, 2026Basingstoke TownvsUxbridge
- Oct 27, 2026Bracknell TownvsGosport Borough
- Oct 27, 2026Chichester CityvsHanworth Villa
- Oct 27, 2026Hanwell TownvsHavant & Wville
- Oct 27, 2026Yate TownvsWimborne Town
- Oct 27, 2026Chippenham TownvsEvesham United