Match

Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Rectory Meadow, Hanworth, Middlesex

Hanworth VillaChichester City

The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Chichester City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hanworth Villa (1,848) and Chichester City (1,758).

Hanworth Villa win57 %
Draw22 %
Chichester City win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanworth Villa have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Chichester City have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hanworth Villa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Evesham United(home)4-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Bath City(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 12, 2026Gosport Borough(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Taunton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 21, 2026Kingstonian(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Chichester City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chippenham Town(home)4-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Evesham United(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Wimborne Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Poole Town(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Bognor Regis Town(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chichester City score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hanworth Villa1.70.767/156/15
Chichester City1.51.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hanworth Villa sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern South (9 points from 4 matches) and Chichester City sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Hanworth Villa4301729
9Chichester City4202656

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City?
The Footlab model makes Hanworth Villa the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Chichester City.
Where and when is Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City played?
Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City is played on September 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Rectory Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hanworth Villa and Chichester City

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