Match

Chico vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 1Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

ChicoAtletico Nacional

The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Chico. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional is a heavy favourite: 1,908 Elo points against 1,604, a 304-point gap.

16%25%59%
Chico winDrawAtletico Nacional win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chico vs Atletico Nacional

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chico

4-4-2
  1. 21J. Pimentel
  2. 22Alejandro Maya
  1. 6J. Díaz
  2. 17E. Sarria
  3. 16S. Mera
  4. 8S. Salazar
  1. 4J. Mena
  2. 5J. Alomía
  3. 14C. Blanco
  4. 24C. Mosquera
  1. 1D. Agudelo

Atletico Nacional

4-2-3-1
  1. 99I. Poveda
  1. 22E. Cabrera
  2. 23J. Rodríguez
  3. 27Y. Perlaza
  4. 10E. Cardona
  5. 21J. Campuzano
  1. 3N. Parra
  2. 6A. Román
  3. 20M. Casco
  4. 4C. Haydar
  1. 34F. Armani

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Cucuta(home)0-1Primera A
Oct 3, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)0-0Primera A
Sep 25, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)3-0Primera A
Sep 19, 2026Millonarios(away)0-3Primera A
Sep 16, 2026Alianza Valledupar(home)1-2Primera A
Atletico Nacional
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Independiente Medellin(home)3-2Copa Colombia
Oct 8, 2026Deportes Tolima(home)0-0Primera A
Oct 1, 2026Junior(home)3-1Primera A
Sep 26, 2026Chapecoense-sc(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 2026Millonarios(home)1-1Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chico win, 1 draw, 4 Atletico Nacional wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Atletico Nacional 4-0 ChicoPrimera A
Oct 6, 2025Chico 1-1 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
Apr 16, 2025Atletico Nacional 4-1 ChicoPrimera A
Sep 29, 2024Atletico Nacional 6-2 ChicoPrimera A
Mar 17, 2024Chico 2-1 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
Oct 22, 2023Chico 1-3 Atletico NacionalPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Chico on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chico1.11.554/158/15
Atletico Nacional2.00.958/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 14th in Primera A (12 points from 12 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 4th (23 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Atletico Nacional11722211023
14Chico12336101912

A question about Chico vs Atletico Nacional?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Chico.
Where and when is Chico vs Atletico Nacional played?
Chico vs Atletico Nacional is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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