Where and when is Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional played?

Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 15Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

Cucuta

Atletico Nacional

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,637).

Cucuta win24 %

Draw28 %

Atletico Nacional win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Atletico Nacional have 11, 0 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Independiente Medellin(away)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Bucaramanga(away)	1-1	Primera A
Jul 27, 2026	Once Caldas(away)	1-5	Primera A

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cucuta win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Atletico Nacional win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional 0-0 Cucuta	Primera A
Aug 5, 2025	Cucuta 0-3 Atletico Nacional	Copa Colombia
Jul 29, 2025	Atletico Nacional 1-0 Cucuta	Copa Colombia
Nov 15, 2020	Atletico Nacional 3-0 Cucuta	Primera A
Nov 27, 2019	Cucuta 0-1 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Nov 10, 2019	Atletico Nacional 3-1 Cucuta	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta on Apr 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cucuta	0.7	1.3	6	6/15	3/15
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Atletico Nacional sit 1st (40 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
10	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
14	Cucuta	5	1	2	2	4	9	5
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22	35	16

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional played?: Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.