Deportes Tolima vs Junior: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 1Kick-off on July 26, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Full time
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
Deportes Tolima won 2-1 on July 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 37′J. CabezasDeportes Tolima
- 45′K. FlórezDeportes Tolima
- 79′G. PaivaJunior
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Deportes Tolima win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Deportes Tolima vs Junior
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Deportes Tolima
4-4-2- 9L. Sandoval
- 8E. Valencia
- 18K. Flórez
- 32S. Guzmán
- 6C. Trujillo
- 7J. Cabezas
- 20J. Hernández
- 2A. Angulo
- 3J. Angulo
- 33J. Mosquera
- 13M. Ortega
Junior
4-2-3-1- 9G. Paiva
- 18K. Pérez
- 20J. Sarmiento
- 77C. Barrios
- 80F. Ángel
- 14J. Ríos
- 26Y. Súarez
- 98J. Pena
- 3E. Herrera
- 5D. Rivera
- 30J. Martínez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Tolima have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Junior have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Quindio(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| May 27, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 23, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera A |
| May 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 0-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 16, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 3-0 | Primera A |
| May 28, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 24, 2026 | Santa Fe(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Deportes Tolima wins, 1 draw, 2 Junior wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Junior 0-2 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Junior 3-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Junior 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 2-0 Junior | Primera A |
| May 31, 2025 | Junior 1-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs Deportes Tolima on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Junior | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Tolima sit 8th in Primera A (20 points from 14 matches) and Junior sit 16th (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 16 | Junior | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 11 |
A question about Deportes Tolima vs Junior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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