Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
CAF Champions League2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, Benguela
The Footlab AI model makes Wiliete the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Mamelodi Sundowns. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wiliete wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
On Elo ratings, Wiliete has 1,896 points and Mamelodi Sundowns 2,090.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wiliete
Not enough data to predict the Wiliete lineup.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 12B. León
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 27T. Morena
- 30R. Williams
Known absences
T. ZwaneOut · Suspended (red card)
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiliete have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 5-0 | Girabola |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Luanda(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Foresters(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Foresters(home) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Wiliete score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiliete | 1.7 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wiliete the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Mamelodi Sundowns.
- Where and when is Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Nacional de OMBAKA, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.