Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hardenhuish Park, Chippenham, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chippenham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town?
Chertsey Town starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chippenham Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chertsey Town have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gloucester City(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Westfield (Surrey)(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chippenham Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chertsey Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | Chippenham Town 3-0 Chertsey Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town on Oct 19, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chertsey Town score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chertsey Town | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chippenham Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Chertsey Town sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chertsey Town | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chertsey Town the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chippenham Town.
- Where and when is Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town played?
- Chippenham Town vs Chertsey Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hardenhuish Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Havant & WvillevsWimborne Town
- Jan 30, 2027BerkhamstedvsYate Town
- Jan 30, 2027Bracknell TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 30, 2027Evesham UnitedvsUxbridge
- Jan 30, 2027Hanwell TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 30, 2027SholingvsFrome Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gosport BoroughvsBath City
- Jan 30, 2027Gloucester CityvsHanworth Villa