Berkhamsted vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,770).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Berkhamsted vs Yate Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Berkhamsted
Not enough data to predict the Berkhamsted lineup.
Yate Town
Not enough data to predict the Yate Town lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Yate Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Malvern Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Berkhamsted win, 2 draws, 0 Yate Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Yate Town 0-3 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Berkhamsted 1-1 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Yate Town 0-0 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Berkhamsted on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 9th in Non League Premier - Southern South (16 points from 11 matches) and Yate Town sit 15th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Berkhamsted | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
| 15 | Yate Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 12 |
A question about Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Yate Town played?
- Berkhamsted vs Yate Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Havant & WvillevsWimborne Town
- Jan 30, 2027Bracknell TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 30, 2027Evesham UnitedvsUxbridge
- Jan 30, 2027Hanwell TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 30, 2027SholingvsFrome Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gosport BoroughvsBath City
- Jan 30, 2027Chippenham TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gloucester CityvsHanworth Villa