Gosport Borough vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Privett Park, Gosport, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gosport Borough vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Gosport Borough (1,732) and Bath City (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gosport Borough have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Bath City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yate Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-6 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gosport Borough win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | Gosport Borough 2-3 Bath City | FA Trophy |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Bath City 0-0 Gosport Borough | FA Trophy |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Bath City 2-0 Gosport Borough | FA Cup |
| Oct 9, 2012 | Gosport Borough 3-1 Bath City | FA Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Bath City 1-1 Gosport Borough | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Gosport Borough vs Bath City on Nov 27, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Gosport Borough score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gosport Borough | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gosport Borough sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 | Gosport Borough | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gosport Borough vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Gosport Borough the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Gosport Borough vs Bath City played?
- Gosport Borough vs Bath City is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Privett Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Havant & WvillevsWimborne Town
- Jan 30, 2027BerkhamstedvsYate Town
- Jan 30, 2027Bracknell TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 30, 2027Evesham UnitedvsUxbridge
- Jan 30, 2027Hanwell TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 30, 2027SholingvsFrome Town
- Jan 30, 2027Chippenham TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gloucester CityvsHanworth Villa