Sholing vs Frome Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mackoy Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sholing. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sholing vs Frome Town?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Sholing (1,802) and Frome Town (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sholing have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Frome Town have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sholing win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Frome Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Frome Town 0-3 Sholing | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Sholing 1-1 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Frome Town 2-3 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Sholing 3-2 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Sholing 0-1 Frome Town | Non League Div One - Southern South |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Frome Town 3-2 Sholing | Non League Div One - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Sholing score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sholing | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sholing sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Frome Town sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Sholing | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sholing vs Frome Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Sholing.
- Where and when is Sholing vs Frome Town played?
- Sholing vs Frome Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mackoy Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 30, 2027Havant & WvillevsWimborne Town
- Jan 30, 2027BerkhamstedvsYate Town
- Jan 30, 2027Bracknell TownvsPoole Town
- Jan 30, 2027Evesham UnitedvsUxbridge
- Jan 30, 2027Hanwell TownvsTaunton Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gosport BoroughvsBath City
- Jan 30, 2027Chippenham TownvsChertsey Town
- Jan 30, 2027Gloucester CityvsHanworth Villa