Gloucester City vs Hanworth Villa: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Meadow Park, Gloucester, Gloucestershire
The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hanworth Villa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gloucester City vs Hanworth Villa?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Gloucester City (1,860) and Hanworth Villa (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gloucester City have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Hanworth Villa have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chertsey Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bath City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gosport Borough(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Taunton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Kingstonian(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Gloucester City score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hanworth Villa score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloucester City | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hanworth Villa | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gloucester City sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Hanworth Villa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Gloucester City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gloucester City vs Hanworth Villa?
- The Footlab model makes Gloucester City the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Hanworth Villa.
- Where and when is Gloucester City vs Hanworth Villa played?
- Gloucester City vs Hanworth Villa is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Meadow Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.