Chippenham Town vs Malvern Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hardenhuish Park, Chippenham, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chippenham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Malvern Town?
Malvern Town starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,789 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chippenham Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Malvern Town have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bracknell Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 2-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanwell Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Malvern Town | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chippenham Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Malvern Town sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chippenham Town vs Malvern Town?
- The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Chippenham Town.
- Where and when is Chippenham Town vs Malvern Town played?
- Chippenham Town vs Malvern Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hardenhuish Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Havant & WvillevsChichester City
- Jan 2, 2027Taunton TownvsYate Town
- Jan 2, 2027Bracknell TownvsBasingstoke Town
- Jan 2, 2027Chertsey TownvsHanworth Villa
- Jan 2, 2027Evesham UnitedvsGloucester City
- Jan 2, 2027Hanwell TownvsBerkhamsted
- Jan 2, 2027Gosport BoroughvsSholing
- Jan 2, 2027Poole TownvsPlymouth Parkway