Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Moyale Barracks. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Chitipa United (1,462) and Moyale Barracks (1,483).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chitipa United
Not enough data to predict the Chitipa United lineup.
Moyale Barracks
Not enough data to predict the Moyale Barracks lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chitipa United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Moyale Barracks have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Creck(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Creck(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chitipa United wins, 2 draws, 2 Moyale Barracks wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Moyale Barracks 3-2 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Chitipa United 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 0-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Chitipa United 2-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| May 11, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 1-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Moyale Barracks 4-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Moyale Barracks vs Chitipa United on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chitipa United score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Moyale Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Moyale Barracks | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chitipa United sit 5th in Super League (24 points from 16 matches) and Moyale Barracks sit 8th (21 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 21 |
A question about Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Moyale Barracks.
- Where and when is Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks played?
- Chitipa United vs Moyale Barracks is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.