Chorley vs Oxford City: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford City wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,632 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chorley vs Oxford City?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Chorley (1,699) and Oxford City (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chorley vs Oxford City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Oxford City
Not enough data to predict the Oxford City lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Oxford City have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Chorley wins, 3 draws, 2 Oxford City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Oxford City 4-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Oxford City 2-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Chorley 3-3 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Chorley 0-0 Oxford City | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Oxford City 2-2 Chorley | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Chorley on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oxford City score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Oxford City | 2.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chorley sit 13th in National League - North (20 points from 15 matches) and Oxford City sit 3rd (28 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford City | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 28 |
| 13 | Chorley | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 25 | 20 |
A question about Chorley vs Oxford City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chorley vs Oxford City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford City the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Chorley vs Oxford City played?
- Chorley vs Oxford City is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.