Brackley Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brackley Town vs Chorley?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Brackley Town (1,691) and Chorley (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Chorley have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Marine(away) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chester(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Trafford(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brackley Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Chorley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Chorley 4-1 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Brackley Town 0-2 Chorley | National League - North |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley | National League - North - Play-offs |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Brackley Town 1-0 Chorley | National League - North |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Chorley 1-1 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Chorley vs Brackley Town on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Chorley | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brackley Town sit 15th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chorley | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Brackley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Chorley?
- The Footlab model makes Chorley the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Brackley Town vs Chorley played?
- Brackley Town vs Chorley is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.