Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Macclesfield wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town?
Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,018 vs 1,912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Macclesfield
Not enough data to predict the Macclesfield lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Merthyr Town have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Macclesfield win, 0 draws, 2 Merthyr Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Merthyr Town 2-1 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Merthyr Town 1-2 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Macclesfield 1-3 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Merthyr Town vs Macclesfield on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 1st in National League - North (24 points from 11 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 18th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macclesfield | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town played?
- Macclesfield vs Merthyr Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.