Buxton vs Morecambe: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Morecambe?
Buxton starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Morecambe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Morecambe have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Buxton wins, 0 draws, 2 Morecambe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Morecambe 4-0 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Buxton 0-1 Morecambe | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Morecambe sit 17th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Buxton vs Morecambe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Morecambe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Morecambe played?
- Buxton vs Morecambe is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.