Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 5-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| May 19, 2025 | Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 5-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Ruch Chorzów 1-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Chrobry Głogów 0-2 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chrobry Głogów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chrobry Głogów.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Miedz LegnicavsWarta Poznań
- Mar 6, 2027Lechia GdanskvsPolonia Warszawa
- Mar 6, 2027NiecieczavsPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
- Mar 6, 2027PodbeskidzievsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Mar 6, 2027Stal MielecvsPogoń Siedlce
- Mar 6, 2027ŁKS ŁódźvsOdra Opole
- Mar 6, 2027Stal RzeszówvsUnia Skierniewice
- Mar 6, 2027Polonia BytomvsArka Gdynia