Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch ChorzówChrobry Głogów

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Chrobry Głogów (1,855).

Ruch Chorzów win38 %
Draw27 %
Chrobry Głogów win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Lechia Gdansk(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Warszawa(away)1-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Miedz Legnica(home)0-2I Liga
Jul 26, 2026Nieciecza(away)0-2I Liga
Chrobry Głogów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 15, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)2-1I Liga
Aug 3, 2026Odra Opole(home)0-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Stal Rzeszów(away)5-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Chrobry Głogów win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Chrobry Głogów 1-1 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Sep 22, 2025Ruch Chorzów 2-1 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
May 19, 2025Chrobry Głogów 2-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga
Nov 7, 2024Ruch Chorzów 5-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Feb 11, 2023Ruch Chorzów 1-0 Chrobry GłogówI Liga
Jul 23, 2022Chrobry Głogów 0-2 Ruch ChorzówI Liga

Last archived meeting: Chrobry Głogów vs Ruch Chorzów on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów1.21.256/155/15
Chrobry Głogów1.51.6012/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Chrobry Głogów5212857
10Ruch Chorzów5212357

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów?
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Chrobry Głogów.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów played?
Ruch Chorzów vs Chrobry Głogów is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ruch Chorzów and Chrobry Głogów

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