Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Radès, Radès
The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
Club Africain starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,966 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Africain have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Soliman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Club Africain win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2012 | Club Africain 1-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 8, 2011 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-1 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse on May 16, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Club Africain score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Africain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Africain sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 59%, against 28% for a draw and 13% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- Club Africain vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Radès, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.