US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for US Monastirienne, 41% for a draw, 24% for Stade Tunisien. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate US Monastirienne (1,880) and Stade Tunisien (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Monastirienne have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Tunisien have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | AS Soliman(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Gabes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | AS Gabes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 US Monastirienne win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Stade Tunisien win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Stade Tunisien 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | US Monastirienne 1-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 27, 2025 | US Monastirienne 0-2 Stade Tunisien | Super Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | US Monastirienne 0-0 Stade Tunisien | Cup |
| May 3, 2025 | Stade Tunisien 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 29, 2024 | US Monastirienne 1-0 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Tunisien vs US Monastirienne on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Monastirienne score 0.7 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Tunisien score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 15% probability of over 2.5 goals and 23% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Monastirienne | 0.7 | 0.4 | 10 | 0/15 | 2/15 |
| Stade Tunisien | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Monastirienne sit 5th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Stade Tunisien sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Stade Tunisien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for US Monastirienne, 41% for a draw, 24% for Stade Tunisien.
- Where and when is US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien played?
- US Monastirienne vs Stade Tunisien is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 15% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.