Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Dodoma Jiji. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,540) and Dodoma Jiji (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Dodoma Jiji have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Coastal Union win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dodoma Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Coastal Union 3-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Dodoma Jiji 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Coastal Union 1-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Dodoma Jiji 2-1 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji on Apr 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dodoma Jiji score 0.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Dodoma Jiji sit 13th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Dodoma Jiji.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji played?
- Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji is played on October 31, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.