Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
Young Africans is a heavy favourite: 2,012 Elo points against 1,499, a 513-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Young Africans
4-3-3- 7M. Nzengeli
- 13P. Shalulile
- 11H. Zakouani
- 38Duke Ooga Abuya
- 21K. Attohoula
- 22A. Kangwanda
- 4I. Bacca
- 23C. Boka
- 3B. Mwamnyeto
- 15M. Hussein
- 39D. Diarra
Kagera Sugar
Not enough data to predict the Kagera Sugar lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Africans have 13 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Kagera Sugar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | CFFA(away) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gaborone United(home) | 2-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 3-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fountain Gate(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Young Africans wins, 1 draw, 0 Kagera Sugar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Young Africans 4-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-2 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 8, 2024 | Young Africans 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Young Africans 5-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-1 Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Young Africans score 2.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Africans | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Africans sit 2nd in Ligi kuu Bara (18 points from 7 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
A question about Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Young Africans the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Young Africans vs Kagera Sugar is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.