Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC)Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mashujaa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,525 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Mashujaa (1,577) and Pamba Jiji (1,524).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 51M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 23T. Simba
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 19S. Mgandila
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Pamba Jiji
4-3-3- 21S. Karabaka
- 20S. Oyugi Siwa
- 54H. Msabila
- 26J. Ochieng
- 42I. Diomande
- 40F. Kundo
- 25Abdalla Salum Kheri
- 2A. Machupa
- 32A. Said
- 3I. Abraham
- 18E. Johola
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashujaa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Geita Gold(home) | 4-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 0-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mashujaa win, 2 draws, 1 Pamba Jiji win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 2-1 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Mashujaa 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Pamba Jiji 2-2 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashujaa sit 4th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 8 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 14th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mashujaa the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji is played on November 2, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC) at Lake Tanganyika Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.