Coastal Union vs Geita Gold: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Geita Gold. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Geita Gold?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,541) and Geita Gold (1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Geita Gold have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Tabora United(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 6-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Namungo(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 28, 2024 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| May 25, 2024 | Fountain Gate(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Coastal Union win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Geita Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2024 | Geita Gold 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Coastal Union 3-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Geita Gold 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Coastal Union 0-0 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 29, 2022 | Coastal Union 1-1 Geita Gold | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Geita Gold 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Geita Gold vs Coastal Union on May 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Geita Gold score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Geita Gold | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 16th in Ligi kuu Bara (0 points from 2 matches) and Geita Gold sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Geita Gold | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 | Coastal Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Geita Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Geita Gold.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Geita Gold played?
- Coastal Union vs Geita Gold is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.