Simba vs Azam: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Azam. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Azam?
Simba starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,997 vs 1,850).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Simba vs Azam
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Simba
4-3-3- 7L. Gueye
- 34E. Mpanzu
- 29Ibrahim Doumbia
- 35N. Maema
- 17C. Chama
- 18M. Abraham
- 23R. De Reuck
- 26N. Chilambo
- 20A. Oura
- 39Abdoul Rafiu Kassali
- 28H. Abel
Azam
4-3-3- 19G. Sillah
- 11Naldo
- 20H. Molia
- 23H. Mao
- 6F. Salum
- 4Donovan Stephane Makoma
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 2N. Idumba
- 12P. Msindo
- 13T. Abdulrafiu
- 28A. Manula
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Azam have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 6-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Africans(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 6-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Simba wins, 2 draws, 2 Azam wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Azam 0-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Azam 0-0 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 8, 2026 | Azam 1-0 Simba | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Simba 0-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Simba 2-2 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Azam 0-2 Simba | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 2.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Simba sit 1st in Ligi kuu Bara (24 points from 8 matches) and Azam sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
A question about Simba vs Azam?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Azam?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Azam.
- Where and when is Simba vs Azam played?
- Simba vs Azam is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.