Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma
The Footlab model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Dodoma Jiji (1,515) and Kagera Sugar (1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dodoma Jiji have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kagera Sugar have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mbeya City(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 24, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Namungo(away) | 0-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dodoma Jiji win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Kagera Sugar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 2-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Kagera Sugar 1-1 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Dodoma Jiji 1-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Dodoma Jiji 2-0 Kagera Sugar | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Kagera Sugar 0-0 Dodoma Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar on Apr 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dodoma Jiji score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kagera Sugar score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodoma Jiji | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Kagera Sugar | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dodoma Jiji sit 13th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 2 matches) and Kagera Sugar sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Dodoma Jiji | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar?
- The Footlab model makes Dodoma Jiji the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Kagera Sugar.
- Where and when is Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar played?
- Dodoma Jiji vs Kagera Sugar is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.