Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Pamba Jiji. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Coastal Union (1,540) and Pamba Jiji (1,499).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coastal Union have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pamba Jiji have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Young Africans(away) | 1-4 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mashujaa(home) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Azam(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jun 27, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Coastal Union win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pamba Jiji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | Coastal Union 2-1 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Pamba Jiji 3-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Pamba Jiji 2-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Coastal Union 2-0 Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji on Jun 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coastal Union score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pamba Jiji score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Pamba Jiji | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coastal Union sit 14th in Ligi kuu Bara (1 points from 3 matches) and Pamba Jiji sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pamba Jiji | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Coastal Union | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji?
- The Footlab model makes Coastal Union the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Pamba Jiji.
- Where and when is Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji played?
- Coastal Union vs Pamba Jiji is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Mkwakwani Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.