Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, Morogoro
The Footlab AI model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Polisi Tanzania (1,559) and Mashujaa (1,608).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polisi Tanzania
4-3-3- 26A. Jabiri
- 7H. Kyombo
- 11J. Kibaya
- 22F. Evance
- 12S. Antwi
- 28D. Uromi
- 33O. G. Masai
- 2I. Ame
- SS. Onditi
- 15K. Kunambi
- 48B. Kakolanya
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 57H. Kabunda
- 27S. Madeleke
- 23T. Simba
- 54H. Lidah
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 13S. Mgandila
- 4S. Onditi
- 43M. Malik
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polisi Tanzania have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mashujaa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(home) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 1-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mbeya City(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Coastal Union(home) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Polisi Tanzania wins, 0 draws, 1 Mashujaa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Mashujaa 2-1 Polisi Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania on Oct 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polisi Tanzania score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polisi Tanzania sit 6th in Ligi kuu Bara (12 points from 9 matches) and Mashujaa sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polisi Tanzania the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa played?
- Polisi Tanzania vs Mashujaa is played on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jamhuri Stadium Morogoro, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.