Cobán Imperial vs Aurora: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 22Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, Cobán
The Footlab AI model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Aurora. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
On Elo ratings, Cobán Imperial has 1,642 points and Aurora 1,592.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cobán Imperial vs Aurora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cobán Imperial
4-3-3- 17A. Cabrera
- 9U. Amaral
- 9C. Winter
- 28Janderson
- 21B. Leal
- 11M. Moreira
- 2D. Torres
- 14L. de León
- 16E. Soto
- 4Thales
- 55T. Casas
Aurora
4-3-3- 31V. Urias
- 13H. Morales
- 12Paulo Motta
- 17D. Bajan
- 10J. Vivas
- 18J. Grajeda
- 3Marcos Antonio Acosta Rojas
- 4C. Monterroso
- 15K. Garcia
- 27C. Flores
- 22L. Sanchez
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobán Imperial have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Aurora have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cobán Imperial wins, 3 draws, 1 Aurora win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cobán Imperial 3-2 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Cobán Imperial 0-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Aurora 1-0 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Cobán Imperial 2-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Aurora 1-1 Cobán Imperial | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 30, 2014 | Cobán Imperial 1-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Cobán Imperial vs Aurora on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobán Imperial score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Aurora | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobán Imperial sit 6th in Liga Nacional (32 points from 22 matches) and Aurora sit 11th (20 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cobán Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 32 |
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
A question about Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobán Imperial vs Aurora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cobán Imperial the favourite at 66%, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Aurora.
- Where and when is Cobán Imperial vs Aurora played?
- Cobán Imperial vs Aurora is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Verapaz Jose Angel Rossi, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.