Marquense vs Malacateco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 22Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Malacateco. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marquense vs Malacateco?
On Elo ratings, Marquense has 1,632 points and Malacateco 1,600.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marquense vs Malacateco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marquense
4-3-3- 18E. Sanchez
- 9David Grande
- 10L. García
- 17D. Chuc
- 70Y. Hernandez
- 11D. Ocaheta
- 79Ó. Linton
- 2R. Corado
- 66C. Santos
- 5E. Vasquez
- 1G. Gutiérrez
Malacateco
4-3-3- 10J. Ochoa
- 11N. Andrade
- 29E. Quiñónes
- 17R. Meneses
- 55A. Soto
- II. de Leon
- MM. Chun
- 5J. Esqueda
- HH. Cummings
- 16A. Morales
- AA. Guzman
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marquense have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Malacateco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marquense wins, 0 draws, 2 Malacateco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marquense 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Marquense 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Malacateco 2-1 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Malacateco 2-1 Marquense | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Marquense 4-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Marquense 2-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Marquense vs Malacateco on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marquense score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malacateco score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquense | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Malacateco | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marquense sit 8th in Liga Nacional (30 points from 22 matches) and Malacateco sit 10th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
A question about Marquense vs Malacateco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marquense vs Malacateco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marquense the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Malacateco.
- Where and when is Marquense vs Malacateco played?
- Marquense vs Malacateco is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.