Colchester vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Colchester (1,782) and Accrington ST (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 15B. Lubala
- 6P. Digby
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 24F. Terry
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 38C. O'Brien
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 16Aidan Borland
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 09:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Accrington ST have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luton(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colchester win, 3 draws, 2 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Accrington ST 2-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Colchester 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Accrington ST 1-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Colchester 0-2 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Accrington ST 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Colchester 1-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Colchester on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 21st in League Two (12 points from 12 matches) and Accrington ST sit 9th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Accrington ST played?
- Colchester vs Accrington ST is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.