Swindon Town vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Swindon Town (1,779) and Northampton (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Northampton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swindon Town wins, 2 draws, 1 Northampton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Northampton 0-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Northampton 1-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Swindon Town 1-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Swindon Town 5-2 Northampton | League Two |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Northampton 1-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Swindon Town 2-1 Northampton | League One |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Swindon Town on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 18th in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Northampton sit 22nd (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Northampton played?
- Swindon Town vs Northampton is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.