Rochdale vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Newport County. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,738 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Newport County?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,917 vs 1,733).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Newport County have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rochdale wins, 1 draw, 2 Newport County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport County 3-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Rochdale 1-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Newport County 0-1 Rochdale | League Two |
| May 7, 2022 | Newport County 0-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Rochdale 3-0 Newport County | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Newport County 2-1 Rochdale | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Rochdale on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 17th in League Two (15 points from 13 matches) and Newport County sit 16th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Rochdale vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Newport County played?
- Rochdale vs Newport County is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.