Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés?
Atlético Mansillés starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegios Diocesanos have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Mojados(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palencia CF(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atlético Mansillés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés 1-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Atlético Mansillés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Colegios Diocesanos on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlético Mansillés | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (36 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Mansillés sit 6th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Atlético Mansillés | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 57 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Mansillés the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés played?
- Colegios Diocesanos vs Atlético Mansillés is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026AlmazánvsSalamanca II
- Nov 8, 2026ArandinavsLa Virgen del Camino
- Nov 8, 2026Burgos PromesasvsTurégano
- Nov 8, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsCristo Atlético
- Nov 8, 2026UD Santa MartavsCalasanz de Soria
- Nov 8, 2026Palencia CFvsBembibre
- Nov 8, 2026VillaralbovsGuijuelo
- Nov 8, 2026Unionistas IIvsMirandés II