Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria played?

UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, Santa Marta de Tormes

UD Santa Marta

Calasanz de Soria

The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Calasanz de Soria. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria?

UD Santa Marta win56 %

Draw25 %

Calasanz de Soria win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Santa Marta have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Calasanz de Soria have 0, 0 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Santa Marta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Atlético Tordesillas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Guijuelo(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 16, 2026	Guijuelo(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	UD Santa Marta	34	18	8	8	53	31	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria?: The Footlab model makes UD Santa Marta the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Calasanz de Soria.
Where and when is UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria played?: UD Santa Marta vs Calasanz de Soria is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.