Palencia CF vs Bembibre: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Bembibre?
Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Bembibre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Bembibre have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almazán(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Palencia CF wins, 1 draw, 1 Bembibre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Palencia CF 4-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Bembibre 1-4 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Bembibre 0-3 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-1 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Palencia CF 1-0 Bembibre | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Bembibre 3-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Bembibre on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (7 points from 5 matches) and Bembibre sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Bembibre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Bembibre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Bembibre.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Bembibre played?
- Palencia CF vs Bembibre is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026AlmazánvsSalamanca II
- Nov 8, 2026ArandinavsLa Virgen del Camino
- Nov 8, 2026Burgos PromesasvsTurégano
- Nov 8, 2026Cultural Leonesa IIvsCristo Atlético
- Nov 8, 2026UD Santa MartavsCalasanz de Soria
- Nov 8, 2026Colegios DiocesanosvsAtlético Mansillés
- Nov 8, 2026VillaralbovsGuijuelo
- Nov 8, 2026Unionistas IIvsMirandés II