Match

Villaralbo vs Guijuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Los Barreros, Villaralbo

VillaralboGuijuelo

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Villaralbo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villaralbo vs Guijuelo?

Guijuelo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,729).

Villaralbo win32 %
Draw30 %
Guijuelo win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villaralbo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guijuelo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villaralbo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Mirandés II(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Guijuelo(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Cultural Leonesa II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026Ribert(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Tamaraceite(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Villaralbo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Guijuelo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Villaralbo 1-1 GuijueloTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 14, 2025Guijuelo 1-0 VillaralboTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Villaralbo vs Guijuelo on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villaralbo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villaralbo1.11.248/156/15
Guijuelo1.71.3410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villaralbo sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (42 points from 34 matches) and Guijuelo sit 2nd (70 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guijuelo342176542670
11Villaralbo3411914293742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villaralbo vs Guijuelo?
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Villaralbo.
Where and when is Villaralbo vs Guijuelo played?
Villaralbo vs Guijuelo is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Los Barreros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villaralbo and Guijuelo

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