Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, Ávila
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF?
Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegios Diocesanos have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 2, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mirandés II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unionistas II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 31, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 23, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Palencia CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Palencia CF 2-1 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Palencia CF 0-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Palencia CF 4-0 Colegios Diocesanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Colegios Diocesanos on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegios Diocesanos | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Palencia CF | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (36 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 64 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33 | 54 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF?
- The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Colegios Diocesanos.
- Where and when is Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF played?
- Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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