Match

Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, Ávila

Colegios DiocesanosPalencia CF

The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Colegios Diocesanos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF?

Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,592).

Colegios Diocesanos win22 %
Draw23 %
Palencia CF win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegios Diocesanos have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Palencia CF have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colegios Diocesanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Villaralbo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Mirandés II(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Unionistas II(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 12, 2026Guijuelo(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Colegios Diocesanos win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Palencia CF win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Palencia CF 2-1 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 1, 2025Colegios Diocesanos 1-2 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Feb 3, 2024Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 16, 2023Palencia CF 0-0 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 2, 2022Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Nov 21, 2021Palencia CF 4-0 Colegios DiocesanosTercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Palencia CF vs Colegios Diocesanos on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colegios Diocesanos score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colegios Diocesanos1.02.138/1510/15
Palencia CF1.71.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colegios Diocesanos sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (36 points from 34 matches) and Palencia CF sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Palencia CF3420410593964
13Colegios Diocesanos3410618335436

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF?
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Colegios Diocesanos.
Where and when is Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF played?
Colegios Diocesanos vs Palencia CF is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol de Sancti Spiritu A, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colegios Diocesanos and Palencia CF

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